Monday, June 9, 2008

June Stats, Cont’d

June Stats: 2428 hands, +8.89BB/100.

Bankroll: 27BI (I got rake back today, helped nicely).

Move-up Goal: 45BI.

# of hands at 5 BB/100 winrate left to play: 9000.

I was thinking today, “Boy, I never have hands that really stand out to me anymore.  I play and play and they don’t stick out anymore.”

I wonder what that means.  I’m not paying attention to my play?  Nothing is fascinating to me at the levels I’m at any more?  I’m bored?  I think that last one is probably it.  If I was really concerned about the money I’d probably deliberate a bit more, but most of the time I play a hand and I’m fairly certain how I’m going to be playing it before the hand gets to the flop.

F’rinstance, had a QQ today.  Re-raised a rather tight guy to my right who raised UTG.  He was fairly aggressive, and earlier I re-raised him with KK and got two smaller half-stacks to push into me.  That was a fairly interesting hand, too… but here’s the QQ hand:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (6 handed) Full Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: HTML)

Hero ($20.80)
BB ($5.25)
UTG ($9.80)
MP ($4.30)
CO ($10)
Button ($9.15)

Preflop: Hero is SB with Qc, Qd.
2 folds, CO checks, Button raises to $0.4, SB raises to $1.25, 1 fold, CO calls $1.10, Button folds.

Flop: ($2.95) 7d, 3c, Ks (2 players)
SB bets $2, CO calls $2.

Turn: ($6.95) 5c (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks.

River: ($6.95) 2h (2 players)
SB bets $4, CO calls $4.

Final Pot: $14.95

Results in white below:
Hero has Qc Qd (one pair, queens).
CO has Kc Js (one pair, kings).
Outcome: CO wins $14.95.

Silly river bet?  Maybe, but I could see him calling with just about any pocket pair.  He checked behind on the turn, whereas a bet on the turn might put him more into the holding a K territory.  Anyway, I grumbled a little bit about the hand and moved on.  If I hadn’t been posting this blog tonight I’d have forgotten about this hand tomorrow.  I did put a note on the guy so that if this happens again I can push my AK into him and he’ll probably call. 

I probably should have check/called the river, which would have widened his range even more and made the call and getting money in on the river make more sense.

Maybe at the stakes I’m playing there are just so many, shall we be nice and say ‘recreational players’ playing that I’m making a lot of calls that would be more difficult at higher stakes.  That’s probably it… people’s ranges are so wide for aggression at these levels that if you can beat the top-pair on the board or have a good amount of equity in the hand you can call a lot of big bets.

Here’s a fun KK hand:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (6 handed) Full Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: HTML)

Hero ($10.95)
CO ($5.35)
Button ($9.80)
SB ($3.90)
BB ($7.70)
UTG ($9.60)

Preflop: Hero is MP with Kd, Kh.
UTG raises to $0.3, MP raises to $1.2, 2 folds, SB raises to $3.95 (All-In), BB raises to $7.8 (All-In), UTG folds, Hero calls $6.50.

Flop: ($19.65) 2s, Qc, 9d (3 players, 2 all-in)

Turn: ($19.65) 8d (3 players, 2 all-in)

River: ($19.65) Ks (3 players, 2 all-in)

Final Pot: $19.75

Results in white below:
SB has Ts Ac (high card, ace).
BB has As Ad (one pair, aces).
Hero has Kd Kh (three of a kind, kings).
Outcome:

Tuesday, June 3, 2008

Poker Update for June 3rd

Today: 434 hands, +120BB, 14.14 BB/100.

Poker: Net June: 826 hands, +150BB, 9.23 BB/100. 

In other words, I had a good day.

Bankroll: 20 buy-ins (100BB buy-in).

Bankroll goal: 45 buy-ins to move up to NL25.

Interesting picture here:

bragEV

It basically shows that my total winnings (the green line) were more than I could have expected to win (the red line).  Most of the time, since poker is a game of incomplete information, the red line is generally ahead of the green line.  You expect to win more than you do, just cuz.  People with really bad luck have red lines far above the green lines.  People with good luck have green lines above the red lines, like mine is for half the graph.

That the lines are converging means that my luck has been running on the sour side, but returning to about normal.  The two lines should run pretty close to each other, overall, if you’re a decent player.

This is for May, so I don’t really have a lot of hands played.  I hope to have twice this amount in June.

Oops, I forgot.

maygraphnl10

Here’s my May Graph.

I did very well for myself the beginning part of the year.  I was up to NL25, took a shot at NL50, developed a healthy respect for the money involved and backed down again to NL25.  Then I blew it concerning our checking account.  It wasn’t entirely my fault… I had asked for a small cashout and spent it over the weekend.  The cashout didn’t come in the expected time frame, and things started bouncing.  It wasn’t pretty.  I ended up taking out about 90% of my bankroll to cover the related charges and to help with our vacation.

Anyway, I’m rebuilding again.  Started at about $100 in my FullTilt account.  Good news is that I have rakeback on that account now, so that will help the bankroll build that much faster.

This graph shows my progress pretty much since the rebuilding started.